66
(e) The non-Chinese entrepôt trade would be
definitely hindered, although the damage might be
mitigated if a part of the harbour could be set aside as
& Free port.
b 7. The economic advantages to be gained from a
Customs union consist, therefore, in the benefits in
respect of the Chinese coastal trade and Hong Kong's
The first could probably be secured
manufactures.
almost as fully by an agreement with the Chinese
Government to allow Chinese goods to retain their national
status when shipped via Hong Kong. The other is
unlikely to be obtained by any special agreement, because
shrow a
it would arouse the intense opposition of other foreign
countries, particularly the Japanese, who could probably
prevent it by the invocation of most-favoured-nation
rights, and probably equally intense opposition from
Chinese manufacturers in Shanghai and South China.
firm
This
no less opposition would, however, be aroused equally by a full
wight
Customs union and would very likely be politically strong
enough to prevent it.
important
8. On the other hand there are two big disadvantages
in a Customs union: first, the loss of the Free Port
status, particularly the damage to the non-Chinese
entrepôt trade; and second, the inevitable increase in
the cost of imported goods which must result from the
application of the Chinese tariff to Hong Kong's own
imports. It must be remembered that three quarters of
these imports come from foreign countries and they consist
largely of foodstuffs and necessaries.
There must
That
might
therefore, be some increase in the cost of living.
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